Biography
Kamiar Mohaddes is a Lecturer and Fellow in Economics at Girton College, University of Cambridge. He is also a member of the Economic Research Forum (ERF) advisory committee and an ERF Research Fellow. He has been a visiting scholar at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and is currently working with colleagues at the IMF on a number of projects, including identifying spillover effects from surges in global financial market volatility. He has also been an adjunct Professor at Boston University and will be a visiting Fellow of the University of Southern California Institute for New Economic Thinking (USC-INET) in 2015. He holds a PhD and an MPhil in Economics from the University of Cambridge and a BSc in Economics from the University of Warwick. His main areas of interest are applied macroeconomics, economic development and oil price modeling and his most recent research is on the effects of oil shocks (both supply and demand driven) on the global economy as well as the role of fiscal Institutions and macroeconomic management in promoting growth in resource-rich economies. His articles have been published in a number of edited volumes (Cambridge University Press and Routledge) as well as leading journals (including the Journal of Applied Econometrics and Energy Economics).
Research
Energy Economics, Macroeconomic Management in Resource-Rich Economies, Macroeconomics; Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling.
Publications
Work in Progress
- Oil Supply Shocks and the Global Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis, with M. Hashem Pesaran.
- Fiscal Institutions and Macroeconomic Management in Resource-Rich Economies, with Amany El Anshasy and Jeff Nugent.
- The Global Macroeconomic Implications of Shadow Banking in the United States, with Mehdi Raissi.
Working Papers
- Long-Run Effects in Large Heterogeneous Panel Data Models with Cross-Sectionally Correlated Errors, with Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, and Mehdi Raissi (March 2015).
- Does Inflation Slow Long-Run Growth in India?, with Mehdi Raissi (November 2014).
- Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño, with Paul Cashin and Mehdi Raissi (March 2015).
- Debt, Inflation and Growth: Robust Estimation of Long-Run Effects in Dynamic Panel Data Models, with Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, and Mehdi Raissi (November 2013).
- Institutions and the Volatility Curse, with Weishu Leong (July 2011).
Published and Forthcoming Papers
- Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth, with Tiago V. de V. Cavalcanti and Mehdi Raissi, forthcoming in Journal of Applied Econometrics.
- The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy, with Paul Cashin, Maziar Raissi, and Mehdi Raissi, Energy Economics 44, pp. 113–134.
- The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles, with Paul Cashin and Mehdi Raissi, forthcoming in Ibrahim Ahmed Elbadawi and Hoda Selim (eds.), Understanding and Avoiding the Oil Curse in Resource-Rich Arab Economies, Cambridge University Press.
- An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters, with Hadi Salehi Esfahani and M. Hashem Pesaran (2014), Journal of Applied Econometrics 29:1, pp. 1–21.
- One Hundred Years of Oil Income and the Iranian Economy: A Curse or a Blessing?, with M. Hashem Pesaran (2014), in Parvin Alizadeh and Hassan Hakimian (eds.), Iran and the Global Economy: Petro Populism, Islam and Economic Sanctions. Routledge, London.
- Oil Prices, External Income, and Growth: Lessons from Jordan, with Mehdi Raissi (2013), Review of Middle East Economics and Finance 9:2, pp. 99–131.
- Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy, with Hadi Salehi Esfahani and M. Hashem Pesaran (2013), The Quarterly Review of Economics and
- Econometric Modelling of World Oil Supplies: Terminal Price and the Time to Depletion (2013), OPEC Energy Review 37:2, pp. 162–193.
- Inflation Differentials in the GCC: Does the Oil Cycle Matter?, with Oral H. Williams (2013), Middle East Development Journal 5:2, pp. 1–23 .
- Growth, Development and Natural Resources: New Evidence Using a Heterogeneous Panel Analysis, with Tiago V. de V. Cavalcanti and Mehdi Raissi (2011), The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 51:4, pp. 305–318.
- Does Oil Abundance Harm Growth?, with Tiago V. de V. Cavalcanti and Mehdi Raissi (2011), Applied Economics Letters 18:12, pp.1181–1184.
Persian Language Publications and Interviews
- Interview in Persian, Tejarat-e Farda, Issue 109 (November 15, 2014), pp. 82–83.
- High Inflation is Damaging Economic Growth in Iran, Donya-e Eqtesad, Issue 3056 (November 4, 2013).
- Interview in Persian, Tejarat-e Farda, Issue 60 (October 5, 2013), pp. 96–97.
- Interview in Persian, Tejarat-e Farda, Issue 29 (February 3, 2013), pp. 28-29.
- Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy in Persian, a short Persian version of the article Oil Exports and the Iranian Economy originally published in The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 53:3, pp. 221–237.
- Explaining the Role of Oil in the Iranian Economy, Tazehaye Eghtesad, Summer 1391 (2013), Issue 136, page 186.
Policy Notes
- Outward Spillovers from a GDP Shock in the GCC Region, with Paul Cashin and Mehdi Raissi (November 2012), Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia, International Monetary Fund.
- Inward Spillovers to MENA Countries from a GDP Shock in G3 Countries, with Paul Cashin and Mehdi Raissi (November 2012), Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia, International Monetary Fund.
- Recent Inflation Dynamics in GCC Countries, with Abdelhak S. Senhadji and Oral H. Williams (October 2010), Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia, International Monetary Fund.
- Researching the Graduate Labour Market : are the younger graduates on a lower growth path for their earnings compared with their older counterparts?’ Working Paper, Warwick Institute for Employment Research (IER), University of Warwick (2003).